WEEKLY CURRENCY OUTLOOK

  • A fairly subdued week, with US Labour figures the key headliner.
  • Employment change expected +74K (prev 73K) and unemployment rate @ 4.3% (prev 4.2%).

AUDUSD is likely to continue consolidating (ranging) and most likely will pivot between 0.6483 and 0.6569.

• AUDUSD has been consolidating over the past few weeks with little directional bias.

• Trump’s tariffs still remain an ongoing issue, with the US federal court ruling the “reciprocal tariffs’ were issued illegally, although they’re still in place.

• We have AU GDP and RBA Gov Bullock speaking this week, although unlikely to move the needle.

• US Labour figures will be the key headliner with a +ve change expected of 74K (prev 73K), and an unemployment rate of 4.3% expected (prev 4.2%).

• AUDUSD potentially can hit 66c this week on the back of USD data; however, RBA’s Bullock could hint at golden nuggets about the next rate cut, which could move the market.

• Keep an eye out for that speech!

Economic Calendar: Mon 1st Sept 2025 – Friday 4th Sept 2025 (High Impact) (AU/US)
Day Time(AEST) Event Country Forecast Previous
Wed 12:00am ISM Manufacturing PMI US 48.9 48.0
  11:30am GDP q/q AU 0.5% 0.2%
  6:00pm RBA Gov Bullock Speaks AU N/A N/A
Thur 12:00am JOLTS Job Openings US 7.24M 7.44M
  10:15pm ADP Non-Farm Employment Change US 71K 104K
  10:30pm Unemployment Claims US 229K 229K
Fri 12:00am ISM Services PMI US 50.5 50.1
  10:30pm Average Hourly Earnings m/m US 0.3% 0.3%
    Non-Farm Employment Change US 74K 73K
    Unemployment Rate US 4.3% 4.2%

Source: forexfactory.com

CurrenCWEEKLY CURRENCY OUTLOOK