WEEKLY CURRENCY OUTLOOK

What’s Driving Markets This Week

  • Oil prices are still high due to tensions in the Middle East
    US dollar remains strong, supported by steady economic data
    Markets are a bit uncertain, reacting quickly to news

What’s Happening

Global markets are still being influenced by rising oil prices and geopolitical tensions. Higher energy costs are increasing inflation concerns, which is helping keep the US dollar strong.

The Australian dollar is moving within a relatively tight range and is slightly under pressure due to the stronger USD.

This week, markets will be watching key US economic data, which could move currencies further.

Key FX Levels

Pair Spot Bias
AUD/USD ~0.70 Slightly Bearish
AUD/EUR ~0.61 Neutral
AUD/GBP ~0.53 Neutral
AUD/JPY ~111.0 Neutral / Bullish
AUD/CNH ~4.85 Neutral
AUD/NZD ~1.19 Neutral

Commodities Snapshot

Commodity Price
Crude Oil (WTI) ~$98–$102/bbl
Gold ~$5,050–$5,150/oz
Silver ~$80–$85/oz
Iron Ore ~$100/t

Key Economic Events This Week (Sydney Time)

Day Date Time (Sydney) Event Country Why It Matters
Thursday 27 Mar 2026 11:30 PM Core PCE Inflation US Key inflation measure for the Fed (moves USD)
Thursday 27 Mar 2026 11:30 PM GDP (Final) US Shows strength of the US economy
Friday 28 Mar 2026 11:30 PM Jobless Claims US Indicates labour market health
Saturday 29 Mar 2026 1:00 AM Consumer Sentiment US Reflects consumer confidence and spending outlook

 

AUD Outlook

The AUD remains sensitive to global risk sentiment and USD strength.

Key drivers this week:
• US inflation and growth data
• Commodity price stability
• Geopolitical developments

Expected range:
AUD/USD 0.69 – 0.71

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