• AU CPI & US PPI/Retail sales/Core PCE Index are the key headliners this week.
• AU CPI expected @ 3.3% (prev 3.5%) & US Core PCE Index expected @ 0.2% (prev 0.2%).
• AUDUSD still in consolidation (bearish bias), pivoting between 0.6404 & 0.6520.
• AUDUSD RANGING BETWEEN 64c & 65c.
• AUD over the last month has been on a slightly bearish tilt, but still overall in consolidation on the higher timeframes.
• Currently sitting at a key support level of 0.6430.
• We have AU CPI m/m released, expected 3.3% (prev 3.5%), which is -ve for the AUD, especially after the sudden spike higher in the last reading.
• US has PPI m/m expected @ 0.5%, Retail sales m/m expected @ 0.3% & Core PCE index expected @ 0.2% m/m. These are not known to move the market significantly, but they are a strong indicator of US inflation & spending.
• As we head into the last week of November, we can expect to see some EOM risk adjustments from major institutions, which could see some interesting moves.
| Economic Calendar: Mon 24th November 2025 – Friday 28th November 2025 (High Impact) (AU/US) | |||||
| Day | Time(AEST) | Event | Country | Forecast | Previous |
| Wed | 12:30am | PPI m/m | US | 0.5% | -0.1% |
| Retail Sales m/m | US | 0.3% | 0.6% | ||
| 11:30am | CPI y/y | AU | 3.3% | 3.5% | |
| Thurs | 12:30am | Unemployment Claims | US | TBA | 220K |
| Prelim GDP q/q | US | TBA | TBA | ||
| Core PCE Price Index m/m | US | 0.2% | 0.2% | ||
Source: forexfactory.com