• US-dominated week with no major AU market data released this week.
• US labour with emp change +70K, unemp rate @ 4.4% & US CPI @ 2.5% y/y (prev 2.7%)
• AUDUSD is still expected to be a little bullish this week, pivoting between 0.6925 & 0.7079.
• AUD BACK UP AT 70c!
• With no major AUD data released this week, the AUDUSD will largely be driven by the USD.
• US – 2 headliners this week being US labour & US CPI.
• US labour numbers expected @ +70K (prev +50K) with the unemployment rate expected @ 4.4% (same). This is overall +ve for the USD.
• US CPI expected @ 2.5% (prev 2.7%), a 0.2% drop in CPI which is -ve for the USD, +ve for AUD, so could see AUD shoot higher on this release if expectations are met.
• Overall, the USD is still expected to remain bearish and the AUD bullish.
• NEXT STOP 75c?
| Economic Calendar: Mon 9th February 2026 – Friday 13th February 2026 (High Impact) (AU/US) | |||||
| Day | Time(AEST) | Event | Country | Forecast | Previous |
| Wed | 12:30am | Core Retail Sales m/m | US | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Retail Sales m/m | US | 0.4% | 0.6% | ||
| Thur | 12:30am | Average Hourly Earnings m/m | US | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Non-Farm Employment Change | US | 70K | 50K | ||
| Unemployment Rate | US | 4.4% | 4.4% | ||
| Fri | 12:30am | Unemployment Claims | US | 222K | 231K |
| Sat | 12:30am | Core CPI m/m | US | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| CPI m/m | US | 0.3% | 0.3% | ||
| CPI y/y | US | 2.5% | 2.7% | ||
Source: forexfactory.com