WEEKLY CURRENCY OUTLOOK

• Relatively quiet week in markets with AU CPI headlining this week.
• AU CPI expected @ 3.7% y/y (prev 3.8%) – overall -ve for AUD.
• AUDUSD still in consolidation/ranging phase, pivoting between 0.7033 & 0.7115.

• AUDUSD HITS 71c! YOU READ THAT RIGHT!

• AUDUSD briefly hit 71c earlier this morning before going back under, a positive sign of intent from AUD.

• Although there are minimal high-impact events this week, the AU CPI will headline amongst a couple of key speeches from US President Trump & RBA Gov Bullock.

• AU CPI expected to come in @ 3.7% y/y (prev 3.8%), overall -ve for the AUD, but +ve for future rate reductions. The question remains how sticky inflation will be before it heads back down.

• We have US unemployment claims coming in @ 216K (prev 206K), overall -ve for the USD.

• Can we see AUDUSD sustain @ the 71c handle?

• Or will the CPI reading drop it back below 70c?

• Watch this space!

Economic Calendar: Mon 23rd February 2026 – Friday 27th February 2026 (High Impact) (AU/US)
Day Time(AEST) Event Country Forecast Previous
Wed 11:30am CPI m/m AU TBA 1.0%
    CPI y/y AU 3.7% 3.8%
    Trimmed Mean CPI m/m AU TBA 0.2%
  1:00pm President Trump Speaks US N/A N/A
  7:40pm RBA Gov Bullock Speaks AU N/A N/A
Fri 12:30am Unemployment Claims US 216K 206K
Sat 12:30am Core PPI m/m US 0.3% 0.7%
    PPI m/m US 0.3% 0.5%

Source: forexfactory.com

CurrenCWEEKLY CURRENCY OUTLOOK