WEEKLY CURRENCY OUTLOOK

“WW3 continues”, Oil shoots up to $100 per barrel.
• US CPI is the key headliner this week with a 2.5% y/y reading (prev. 2.4%).
• AUDUSD still in bearish consolidation, pivoting between 0.7031 & 0.7117.

• “WW3” CONTINUES, OIL SHOOTS UP!

• AUD drops below 70c!

• What a huge week in the markets last week as the US/Israel/Iran war continues, causing huge rifts in global markets.

• Oil shot up to US$100 per barrel, contributing to rising prices globally, but also choke holding purchasers of oil from Iran as they have officially closed the Strait of Hormuz (where 20% of global oil supply travels through).

• This week is quiet in the markets data front, with US CPI the key headliner estimated @ 2.5% y/y (prev 2.5%), +ve for the USD.

• AU has no high-impact events this week, so it will likely take its cues from the USD and global news.

• IS THE WAR GOING TO ESCALATE THIS WEEK?!?!

Economic Calendar: Mon 9th March 2026 – Friday 13th March 2026 (High Impact) (AU/US)
Day Time(AEST) Event Country Forecast Previous
Wed 11:30pm CPI y/y US 2.5% 2.4%
Thurs 11:30pm Unemployment Claims US 216K 213K
Fri 11:30pm Core PCE Price Index m/m US 0.4% 0.4%
    Prelim GDP q/q US 1.4% 1.4%
Sat 1:00am JOLTS Job Openings US 6.84M 6.54M

Source: forexfactory.com

CurrenCWEEKLY CURRENCY OUTLOOK