WEEKLY CURRENCY OUTLOOK

• Quiet week this week with AU CPI the key headliner!
• AU CPI expected @ 2.3% y/y (prev 1.9%) – still within the 2-3% target range.
• AUDUSD to continue consolidating (ranging), most likely pivoting between 0.6428 – 0.6538.

• AUDUSD found some relief on Friday after the FED suggested another rate cut in September!

• Quiet week this week in markets with AU CPI the key headliner!

• AUDUSD ranging between 64.2c and 65.4c this week.

• AU CPI expected @ 2.3% y/y vs 1.9% prev. Major uptick in CPI, generally +ve for AUDUSD.

• US Core PCE index expected @ 0.3% m/m vs 0.3% (prev).

• USD will continue to take cues from global markets with minor high-impact events this week.

• Expecting AUDUSD to hit closer to 65c this week.

• Watch out for any surprise AU CPI reading!

Economic Calendar: Mon 25th Aug 2025 – Friday 29th August 2025 (High Impact) (AU/US)
Day Time(AEST) Event Country Forecast Previous
Wed 11:30am CPI y/y AU 2.3% 1.9%
Thur 10:30pm Prelim GDP q/q US 3.1% 3.0%
  10:30pm Unemployment Claims US 231K 235K
Fri 10:30pm Core PCE Price Index m/m US 0.3% 0.3%

Source: forexfactory.com

CurrenCWEEKLY CURRENCY OUTLOOK